A weather system in the Coral Sea has a small chance of becoming the third cyclone to impact Queensland in as many months.
The system is a weak sup-tropic low off central Queensland on Thursday and is moving away from the Australian mainland, in a northeasterly direction.
It has the “potential for development” well off Queensland from next week, according to a Bureau of Meteorology alert on Thursday morning.
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It remains a 10 to 15 per cent chance of becoming a tropical cyclone from Wednesday and could be outside Australia’s meteorological area of responsibility by that time.
But the bureau has warned of a “possible” scenario of the system, referred to as 06U, U-turning towards Queensland.
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“A sub-tropical low 06U off the central Queensland coast is moving northeast away from the coast and likely to be move outside the Australian region by Saturday,” BOM said.
“The likelihood for 06U to develop into a tropical cyclone increases to low (10-15 per cent) from Wednesday onwards but may be outside the Australian region as there is a considerably large spread in area where 06U may move mid-to-late next week.
“Possible scenarios include a westwards movement back towards the Queensland coast by late next week.
“The possible scenarios will continue to be monitored with updates provided on this page.”
In December, Tropical Cyclone Jasper crossed the coast in the Cairns area before bringing flooding to the far north as a tropical low.
Last week, Tropical Cyclone Kirrily crossed around Townsville, bringing heavy rain and strong winds as the system continues to move through Queensland’s northwest as a low.